Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.060282 4.548182 5.078572 5.699117 6.406667 7.189936 8.124960
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.397198 4.051805 4.815501 5.776662 6.960167 8.377609 10.215452
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.955194 3.693248 4.601161 5.809168 7.387745 9.398907 12.184645
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.572208 3.335077 4.313730 5.675189 7.542141 10.044495 13.706569
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.315609 3.098349 4.139370 5.644689 7.797990 10.816797 15.457976
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.100698 2.888689 3.970193 5.588180 7.991077 11.498178 17.136330
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.007855 2.834812 4.004918 5.814590 8.603193 12.839196 19.961193
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.864398 2.692511 3.895411 5.810183 8.857432 13.652204 22.041458
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.729673 2.549697 3.769607 5.763335 9.031898 14.345706 23.996619
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.546029 2.317463 3.487725 5.442286 8.726439 14.212988 24.495007
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.462498 2.232616 3.426092 5.467531 8.992157 15.061416 26.842023
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.419227 2.207049 3.454779 5.641756 9.524798 16.424349 30.317229
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.349962 2.136437 3.407978 5.689202 9.849819 17.470090 33.372752
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.284180 2.066625 3.356875 5.724159 10.155475 18.514873 36.583745
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.222287 1.998461 3.302608 5.747181 10.438859 19.545669 39.915173
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.140003 1.889466 3.169225 5.612895 10.405664 19.943597 41.929536
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.081616 1.817728 3.095577 5.582362 10.569923 20.755280 44.982910
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.024319 1.743964 3.012730 5.526469 10.676057 21.454511 47.877915
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.011112 1.748119 3.071542 5.750031 11.377853 23.511246 54.362969
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.967643 1.694083 3.018268 5.745675 11.597497 24.528211 58.429022
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.921976 1.633047 2.947457 5.699413 11.721019 25.339385 62.095690
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.846287 1.511325 2.752813 5.382368 11.216923 24.632427 61.603377
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.816666 1.475405 2.722382 5.407299 11.484105 25.791114 66.417739